Drafting is done. Am I the only one a little surprised by how my overall draft picture shook out? With 14 actively managed leagues I decided to do a bit of analysis on my own drafting trends. I looked at how many times out of my 14 leagues I drafted players to be my starters in each roster spot. The percentages represent in how many of my drafts these players were selected as starters. Here is what it tells me.
QB's: I love my top 3 guys but in my book
Brees (36%) and
Brady (36%) are still ahead of
Luck (21%) for fantasy production. Obviously I'm a believer in
Brady having a big bounce back year (maybe even top 5). As a backup QB I'm not really concentrating on a specific guy but
Palmer and
Smith are the only ones I have in more than one league. I don't draft bu QB's in all my lineups, only those that are either 2 QB leagues or those with deep benches. In my Keeper and Dynasty leagues
Bortles was my only real upside play at the position.
WR's: So many players, so widely spread. WR was one of the deepest positions in this years draft so I have a great variety of players but there are still trends in my top starter targets. My favorite play at WR1 is
Demaryius Thomas (29%) followed by
Jordy Nelson and
Dez Bryant. I shied away from
Julio Jones this year due to his foot issues, perhaps too much so. My WR2 spots are primarily populated by
Michael Floyd at a whopping 71%, I see him as a breakout star and a great value in most drafts. At WR3 my heaviest play is on
Golden Tate on 57% of my teams, another great value later in drafts. Seriously, the #2 WR in a high powered passing offense with their #1WR likely being double covered, it was a no brainer to me. WR's rookies with upside now or in the future were very attractive to me particularly
Brandin Cooks (50%),
Kelvin Benjamin (29%) and
Jordan Matthews (21%).
RB's: In each of my RB spots there is a clear and significant difference and between my 3 most drafted players. For instance my RB1, my most drafted
Gio Bernard I have on 43% of my leagues, my next most drafted as an RB1 is
Andre Ellington on 29% of my leagues and then my 3rd choice,
Leveon Bell drops in on only 14% of my rosters.The same sort of drops occur in my drafting of my RB2 and RB Flex positions. When drafting for my RB upside fliers I most often selected my favorite NFL backup RB
Christine Michael (50%) who I believe will have fantasy value in the second half of the season and will eventually take over as his teams RB1. Often undrafted I see him as a great value on Keeper and Dynasty leagues. (Honorary mention to
Knile Davis who is in a very similar position to be a solid back beginning in 2015). My 2nd and 3rd RB fliers are both rookies with, I believe, great future value:
Carlos Hyde (36%),
Devonte Freeman (29%).
TE's:
Rob Gronkowski, let me count the ways (71%), the best there is when healthy and right now he's healthy and I'm all in. If I miss on
Gronk in the draft I shoot for
Julius Thomas when possible (21%). I just think
Jimmy Graham is too expensive as a top 10 pick. When both are healthy
Gronk is better and he has a better situation (less competition for targets). His strong, hard hitting play makes him susceptible to injuries which keeps him from being drafted in the first round which equals good value with huge upside for fantasy players. With great risk can come great reward. I'll always draft a solid TE2 with
Gronk as my #1 but 10 games of
Gronk will still beat 16 games of most Tight ends and many WR's. OK I'll stop now with the
Gronk love. As far as upside rookie TE fliers I'm, all in on
Travis Kelce (36%) for Keeper and Dynasty Leagues.
In the cases of Kickers and Defenses I'm not one to draft these positions early so I don't get the top drafted players but I do have a clear favorite in each of these positions. I think the
NE Patriots DST (64%) is a great value and will finish in the top 5 for 2014. My preferred kicker is
Steven Hauschka (29%) when available near the end of the draft.
Overall my drafts have shown I have definite trends that could be my undoing or hopefully bring me to the playoffs. My love of rookie upside plays, My loyalty to the
New England Patriots and their players, and my fanaticism with a couple guys like
Rob Gronkowski,
Michael Floyd,
Christine Michael and the
Patriots DST each of whom I own in at least half of my leagues. The definition of Boom or Bust players for me. I have a few regrets as I wish I has gotten
Cordarrelle Patterson in more than 1 league and I was hoping to get a few shares of
Eddie Lacy but you can't have everything. All in all I am looking forward to a really fun and exciting season both as a fantasy football player and as an NFL fan. I may not win but I'll have a great time trying. I hope you feel the same about your fantasy rosters.
Go Pats
@WomenNFL
#FantasyFootball #WFFL
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My Most Drafted |
14 |
Leagues with Active Management |
2014 FF Season |
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QB1 |
|
T Brady |
5 |
36% |
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D Brees |
5 |
36% |
|
A Luck |
3 |
21% |
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BU QB |
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C Palmer |
4 |
29% |
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A Smith |
2 |
14% |
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QB Flier |
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B Bortles |
6 |
43% |
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WR1 |
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D Thomas |
4 |
29% |
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D Bryant |
2 |
14% |
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J Nelson |
3 |
21% |
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WR2 |
|
M Floyd |
10 |
71% |
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K Wright |
2 |
14% |
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C Patterson |
1 |
7% |
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WR3 |
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G Tate |
8 |
57% |
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R Woods |
3 |
21% |
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WR Flx |
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WR Flier |
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B Cooks |
7 |
50% |
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K Benjamin |
4 |
29% |
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J Mathews |
3 |
21% |
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RB1 |
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G Bernard |
6 |
43% |
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A Ellington |
4 |
29% |
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L Bell |
2 |
14% |
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RB2 |
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S Ridley |
5 |
36% |
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S Vereen |
3 |
21% |
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B Tate |
2 |
14% |
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RB Flx |
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J Hill |
5 |
36% |
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J Bell |
4 |
29% |
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P Thomas |
3 |
21% |
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RB Flier |
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C Michael |
7 |
50% |
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C Hyde |
5 |
36% |
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D Freeman |
4 |
29% |
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TE1 |
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R Gronkowski |
10 |
71% |
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J Thomas |
3 |
21% |
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V Davis |
1 |
7% |
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BU TE |
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Z Ertz |
3 |
21% |
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Eiffert |
2 |
14% |
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D Walker |
1 |
7% |
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TE Flier |
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T Kelce |
5 |
36% |
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T Wright |
2 |
14% |
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ASJ |
1 |
7% |
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K |
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S Hauschanka |
4 |
29% |
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D Carpenter |
3 |
21% |
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P Dawson |
2 |
14% |
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DST1 |
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NE Patriots |
9 |
64% |
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PH Eagles |
2 |
14% |
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STL Rams |
1 |
7% |
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DST2 |
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PIT Steelers |
3 |
21% |
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